An Abrupt and Cascading Dislocation
At its core, a market crash is nothing but risk-aversion meeting a market that's not priced to tolerate risk. We always become concerned about “trap door” outcomes when rich valuations are joined by deterioration in the uniformity of market internals - which is our most reliable gauge of speculation versus risk-aversion among investors. Our concerns about trap door conditions become even more pointed when investor confidence has been destabilized. We are presently on high alert for a possibly abrupt and cascading market and economic dislocation in the weeks ahead.